Predicting March Madness Part 1

March Madnes tips for picking upsets.

NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

BetOnline.ag Sportsbook Brand Manager, Dave Mason has released early betting trends for March Madness which show heavily lopsided action on two matchups including 84% of bets on East Tennessee State against Florida (-10) and 88% of bets on Rhode Island against Creighton (-1).

With a tournament victory, Wichita State, UNC or Iowa State could hand the sports book its biggest losses. Duke, UNC and Kentucky are seeing the highest volume of overall bets to win the tournament.  

Biggest losses to sports book if this team wins tournament:

1.       Wichita St

2.       UNC

3.       Iowa St

Teams with most number of bets to win the tournament:

1.       Duke

2.       UNC

3.       Kentucky

Early Lopsided Bet Counts (note: approximately 90% of the action is yet to come in):

• 84% of bettors on East Tennessee State v Florida (-10)
• 88% of bettors on Rhode Island v Creighton (-1)

Early "Sharp" Bets / Line Movements

1. Wiconsin -4.5; now -5.5
2. Princeton +8; now +7
3. ND -6.5; now +7
4. Bucknell +16; now +13.5
5. WVU -13; now -13.5
6. NC Wilmington +10, +9; now +7.5
7. ETSU +12 and +11.5; now +10
8. Fl FGulf Coast +14 to +12.5;
9. FSU -11.5; now -12
10. Nevada +7; now +6

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LATEST ODDS TO WIN 2017 NCAA TOURNAMENT

North Carolina	+	500
Gonzaga	+	650
Villanova	+	700
Duke	+	750
Kansas	+	850
Arizona	+	900
Kentucky	+	1000
UCLA	+	1200
Louisville	+	1600
Oregon	+	1800
West Virginia	+	2200
Purdue	+	2500
Florida State	+	3300
Iowa State	+	3300
SMU	+	3300
Michigan	+	3300
Notre Dame	+	3600
Baylor	+	4000
Florida	+	4000
Virginia	+	4000
Wichita State	+	4000
Butler	+	5000
Saint Mary's	+	6600
Wisconsin	+	6600
Kansas State	+	8000
Minnesota	+	10000
Maryland	+	10000
Cincinnati	+	10000
Oklahoma State	+	10000
Rhode Island	+	10000
Creighton	+	12500
Michigan State	+	12500
Wake Forest	+	12500
Miami	+	15000
Vanderbilt	+	15000
Xavier	+	17500
South Carolina	+	20000
Northwestern	+	20000
Arkansas	+	20000
Seton Hall	+	20000
Middle Tennessee	+	20000
Dayton	+	25000
Virginia Tech	+	25000
Marquette	+	25000
USC	+	25000
Virginia Commonwealth	+	30000
Providence	+	30000
UNC Wilmington	+	50000
Nevada	+	50000
Winthrop	+	50000
Princeton	+	75000
Vermont	+	75000
Bucknell	+	75000
East Tennessee State	+	100000
Florida Gulf Coast	+	100000
New Mexico State	+	200000
Iona	+	200000
North Dakota	+	200000
Northern Kentucky	+	200000
Mount St Mary's	+	200000
North Carolina Central	+	200000
Kent State	+	500000
Troy	+	500000
Jacksonville State	+	500000
UC Davis	+	500000
South Dakota State	+	500000
Texas Southern	+	500000

NCAA Tournament Odds: Kentucky a Heavy Favorite

Want to look at the NCAA Tournament odds:

Odds to win the NCAA title:
Kentucky (1): 6/5
Arizona (2): 15/2
Wisconsin (1): 17/2
Duke (1): 9/1
Villanova (1): 10/1
Virginia (2): 10/1
Gonzaga (2): 16/1
Notre Dame (3): 25/1
Iowa State (3): 33/1
Utah (5): 33/1
Kansas (2): 40/1
Michigan State (7): 40/1
North Carolina (4): 40/1
Baylor (3): 50/1
Oklahoma (3): 50/1
Wichita State (7): 50/1
Louisville (4): 66/1
Northern Iowa (5): 66/1
Maryland (4): 75/1
SMU (6): 75/1
Arkansas (5): 100/1
Butler (6): 100/1
Georgetown (4): 100/1
LSU (9): 100/1
Ohio State (10): 100/1
Providence (6): 100/1
Texas (11): 100/1
VCU (7): 100/1
West Virginia (5): 100/1
St. John’s (9) 150/1
Xavier (6): 150/1
BYU (11): 200/1

'Big' Final Four Comes to North Texas

The NCAA Final Four returns to North Texas for the first time in decades — bringing what’s expected to be a record crowd — there will be more winners than the athletes on the court.

It will be "big."

Fan spending is estimated to exceed $140 million in Dallas and Arlington as more than 80 percent of the hotel rooms in the two cities fill with out-of-state visitors and as restaurateurs savor a double-digit increase in business.

AT&T Stadium will hold more than 85,000 fans and there will be more than 19,000 credentialed attendees.

The economic impact report pegged the total spending in Texas “associated with” Final Four visitors at $275.88 million.

Like I said, "BIG."

NCAA College Basketball Rule Changes



The NCAA has approved adding an arc three feet from the basket, inside which a defender cannot take a charge

The organization said Thursday its Playing Rules Oversight Panel had approved several recommended rules changes for college basketball during a conference call Monday.

The women's 3-point line will move back a foot to 20 feet, 9 inches next season, the same distance the men have used since 2008-09. In both the men's and women's games, the terminology for fouls will be changed to match the NBA. Intentional fouls will now be called Flagrant 1 and flagrant fouls will be called Flagrant 2.

Women's teams will also test a 10-second half-court rule in exhibition games next season.

The men's and women's basketball rules committees recommended the changes earlier this month.