Super Bowl XLV Bets You Can Take to the Bank

Forget the squares games and all the crazy prop bets out there, here are a few bets you can take to the bank Monday morning and count your winnings.

Total 45 points

OVER it is.  These teams will score, and a 27-20 score means over.  When these two teams played in 2009, it went over, way over. 

The Steelers go over in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and Green Bay goes over 18 out of 25 games when getting more than 350 yds of offense.  Take the OVER

John Kuhn rushing attempts 2.5 over or under

I say this is the type of game where Kuhn can shine.  He will get over 2.5 rushing attempts and one will be for a score.

 Who will be MVP? Troy Polamalu +900

If Pittsburgh wins, chances are their defense an Troy Polamalu in particular will make a big play.  At +900, it's worth putting a little cash on Polamalu to ne MVP.

Greg Jennings - 5.5 catches and 82 total receiving yards

Based on the last few playoff games, you would be smart to go with the over in each of these.  Jennings is the first option in most of Aaron Rodgers reads.  he'll touch the ball and often.

Total number of field goals missed by both teams.  over or under 1  -  Over for +400

Lot's of pressure on the kickers in this game, and they've been a little erratic.  I think each kicker will miss one.  Take the over on FG misses.

Good Luck to all!

Big XII Basketball Play of the Day for 2/5/11

Missouri

Colorado goes to Missouri today.  Missouri needs to make a statement in this game with the erratic play they have had of late.

I see that statement getting made.  Missouri is giving 10 pts to the Buffalos, and they should end up winning by 15-20.

Mizzou is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.  That should spell disaster for a Colorado team that has performed better than most thought coming into the year.

Take Missouri and give the 10.

Thursday NBA Play of the Night: Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs at the Los Angeles Lakers

In what could be a preview of the Western Conference Finals is on the slate Thursday when the Los Angeles Lakers host the San Antonio Spurs. The Lakers are the defending NBA champions and have the second-best record in the conference. San Antonio has had the best record in the league for most of the season.

The Lakers are giving San Antonio 3.5 points.  This looks taylor-made for a Spurs lock tonight.

The Spurs defeated the Lakers 97-82 on Dec. 28 in San Antonio.  They also are  6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The Lakers on the other hand, are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. 

Take the Spurs tonite and you'll be counting your winnings in the morning.

1/29/11 Big XII Basketball Play of the Day

The Texas Longhorns

Many a college basketball expert missed the boat that week when a determined Texas Longhorn basketball team went into Allen Fieldhouse and took down the undefeated Jayhawks.

I'm not going to sleep on Texas this week.  They play a ranked Missouri team at home, but to say a few trends are going Texas' way is an understatement.

Look at this :

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.

Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

Let's just take Texas and give the 7 to Missouri.  And while we are at it, the total is sitting at 145.5.  Let's get crazy and take the OVER.

This game can be found on ESPNU tonight at 8 eastern time.

Saturday's NFL Divisional Round Play of the Day

The Ravens.

At last look, the line stands at the Ravens getting 3.5 points in this playoff game.  What is important here is that half point.  You see, the games in this heated series are usually decided by three points.

The Ravens getting that 3.5 points is key.  Also, the road team fares well in this rivalry. Road teams are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.  This should be a close and low-scoring game. 

Both teams will rely on their defenses and pick and choose their spots on offense.  The Ravens might not get the win, but they at least get the cover here.